Tuesday, June 16, 2009

Iran's Revolutionette: Good for Iranians, not good for Benjamin Yahoo

Whatever you think of the situation on Iran, whether you believe voter fraud occurred or not, for some the unexpected turn of events must really feel like having defeat snatched from the jaws of victory: only two days ago would the landslide victory of Ahmadinejad have given the hawks (Zionist or not) in both Tel Aviv and Washington thoroughly unhealthy ammunition in their quest of keeping Iran the priority over the Palestinian issue (and of course much worse besides that). Today we see Tehran marching irrevocably towards reforms and 'bomb, bomb, bomb - bomb, bomb Iran' now sounds a very unlikely outcome, at least for the foreseeable future. Ahmadinejad is now in all likelihood finished and although Tehran may not soften its stance of the nuclear and Palestinian issues by much, the road to rapprochement between Washington and Tehran should now lie wide open (Dennis Ross being sidelined can only help marginally too).

It didn't stop Netanyahu from having another stab at it though:

The Iranian threat still is before us in full force, as it became quite clear yesterday. The greatest danger to Israel, to the Middle East, and to all of humanity, is the encounter between extremist Islam and nuclear weapons. I discussed this with President Obama on my visit to Washington, and will be discussing it next week on my visit with European leaders. I have been working tirelessly for many years to form an international front against Iran arming itself with nuclear armaments.

And in the ensuing game of chess-by-means-of-speeches between Obama and Bibi, the former will have little choice in my opinion than to try and take a wrecking ball the latter's fragile coalition. Serious business cannot be expected to be done with this coalition. If not and assuming the Israeli people are as serious about peace as so many of them claim to be, then another coalition, one involving 'moderates' like Tzipi Livni (Kadima), can be the only hope to revive anything even resembling a peace process and not a mere 'industry of peace plans'.


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